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Race pacing

Not one average speed for the whole day: how long your ride will take, and what power to hold on every climb, flat and descent to get there sooner.

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Example race · Alpine loop · Saturday 14 June 2025

An example: Glandon, Galibier, Alpe d'Huez

The Alpine loop from race weather, for a 72 kg rider on the hoods with an FTP of 250 W, at 175 W normalized, starting on 14 June 2025 at 07:00 in the real forecast for that day:

Saturday 14 June 2025 · 176.7 km · 4726 m climbing

Sat 14 Jun07:00 – 15:47

8:47

hours moving

NP
175 W
Average power
163 W
Intensity
0.70
Speed
20.1 km/h
Work
5161 kJ
Saved
15 min

Where the time goes

  • Climb 39% of the distance · 70% of the time
  • Flat 27% of the distance · 17% of the time
  • Descent 34% of the distance · 12% of the time

Riding harder where it buys time and easier where it does not saves 15 min: 175 W all the way would take 9:02. Why?

Rider and bike 80.5 kg Road bike · CdA 0.256 Estimated · Crr 0.0051 Estimated · 97.5% drivetrain · from your profile

Wind and air Race-day forecast From the forecast recorded for the race weather example, at the time you pass each point (CEST).

This is the time riding alone. In a group you will be faster on the flat: sitting on a wheel cuts drag by up to a quarter.

Power along the course

400 m2600 m 0–9 km · 0.1% · 146 W · 07:179–10.4 km · 3.0% · 176 W · 07:2110.4–12.2 km · -0.2% · 143 W · 07:2412.2–21.2 km · 6.0% · 185 W · 08:1021.2–23.2 km · -3.1% · 99 W · 08:1223.2–30.6 km · 7.4% · 186 W · 08:5630.6–33 km · -1.3% · 129 W · 08:5933–35.4 km · 5.0% · 185 W · 09:1035.4–44.8 km · -8.1% · 17 W · 09:1944.8–46 km · -1.6% · 123 W · 09:2146–55.8 km · -6.7% · 34 W · 09:3155.8–71 km · 0.6% · 153 W · 10:0371–77 km · 2.2% · 170 W · 10:1977–82 km · 0.7% · 154 W · 10:3082–93.3 km · 7.4% · 187 W · 11:3693.3–96.1 km · -1.5% · 124 W · 11:4096.1–98.7 km · -3.9% · 91 W · 11:4398.7–115.9 km · 6.8% · 187 W · 13:16115.9–144.1 km · -5.2% · 70 W · 13:48144.1–148.1 km · -0.6% · 146 W · 13:56148.1–150.7 km · -5.9% · 60 W · 13:59150.7–152.9 km · 2.3% · 172 W · 14:06152.9–157.7 km · -5.3% · 68 W · 14:11157.7–163.9 km · -0.3% · 142 W · 14:22163.9–176.7 km · 8.6% · 188 W · 15:47 175 W 007:002508:265009:257510:1410011:4812513:2615013:5817515:40
Bars: planned power per section, orange on climbs; dashed line: your target. Along the bottom the km and the time of day; hover for the numbers.

Sections

SectionGrade PowerSpeed TimeArrive
Flat
from 0 km · 9 km
0.1% 145 W
84%
32.3 0:17 07:17
Climb
from 9 km · 1.4 km
3.0% 175 W
100%
19.4 0:04 07:21
Flat
from 10.4 km · 1.8 km
-0.2% 145 W
82%
32.9 0:03 07:24
Climb
from 12.2 km · 9 km
6.0% 185 W
106%
12 0:45 08:10
Descent
from 21.2 km · 2 km
-3.1% 100 W
57%
42.8 0:03 08:12
Climb
from 23.2 km · 7.4 km
7.4% 185 W
107%
10.2 0:44 08:56
Flat
from 30.6 km · 2.4 km
-1.3% 130 W
74%
40.3 0:04 08:59
Climb
from 33 km · 2.4 km
5.0% 185 W
106%
14.3 0:10 09:10
Descent
from 35.4 km · 9.4 km
-8.1% Easy 58.4 0:10 09:19
Flat
from 44.8 km · 1.2 km
-1.6% 125 W
70%
41.6 0:02 09:21
Descent
from 46 km · 9.8 km
-6.7% Easy 57.3 0:10 09:31
Flat
from 55.8 km · 15.2 km
0.6% 155 W
88%
29 0:31 10:03
Climb
from 71 km · 6 km
2.2% 170 W
97%
21.4 0:17 10:19
Flat
from 77 km · 5 km
0.7% 155 W
88%
29 0:10 10:30
Climb
from 82 km · 11.4 km
7.4% 185 W
107%
10.3 1:06 11:36
Flat
from 93.3 km · 2.8 km
-1.5% 125 W
71%
41.9 0:04 11:40
Descent
from 96.1 km · 2.6 km
-3.9% 90 W
52%
55.5 0:03 11:43
Climb
from 98.7 km · 17.2 km
6.8% 185 W
107%
11.1 1:33 13:16
Descent
from 115.9 km · 28.2 km
-5.2% Easy 52.8 0:32 13:48
Flat
from 144.1 km · 4 km
-0.6% 145 W
84%
29.5 0:08 13:56
Descent
from 148.1 km · 2.6 km
-5.9% Easy 58.1 0:03 13:59
Climb
from 150.7 km · 2.2 km
2.3% 170 W
98%
19.7 0:07 14:06
Descent
from 152.9 km · 4.8 km
-5.3% Easy 55.3 0:05 14:11
Flat
from 157.7 km · 6.2 km
-0.3% 140 W
81%
33.1 0:11 14:22
Climb
from 163.9 km · 12.8 km
8.6% 190 W
107%
9 1:25 15:47
Finish———8:4715:47

Hold the power, not the speed: it is the speed that changes with the wind. Your average is 20.1 km/h. How it is worked out.

Course © OpenStreetMap contributors; elevations from the Copernicus DEM.